John Bogle Joins The Revolution
John C. Bogle is founder of The Vanguard Group, Inc., and
president of the Bogle Financial Markets Research Center. He is the
author of several books, including his latest, The Battle for the
Soul of Capitalism, scheduled for release in November. He joined our
radio program, “The
Investing Revolution,” on
September
16 to discuss the ideas in his new book. The following is a portion
of that interview.
Jim Whiddon:
Mr. Bogle, you started the first index fund back in 1974 and since then
The Vanguard Group and their investors have experienced some incredible
success in that passive type of investing. Here we are 30 years later
and the passive low-cost investing is still only a tiny part of the
mutual fund business. Why has the industry taken so long to catch on?
John Bogle:
Why doesn’t it get out there? Because the fund business is based on
selling something to somebody and it’s easier to sell an actively
managed fund because you can always find an actively managed fund
that is shooting the lights out. If people would only understand that
the past is not a prologue to the future, they would be much more
successful investors. It’s really quite as simple as that.
Lance Alston:
The title of your book is intriguing to me, The Battle for the Soul
of Capitalism. On the cover there is a quote, “How the financial
system undermined social ideals, damaged trust in the markets, robbed
investors of trillions and what to do about it.” Let’s start with the
past. What has gone wrong with the financial system since you started
Vanguard 30 years ago?
JB:
Well, we have a taken a wonderful system of capitalism in which rewards
went to the owners (those who put up the capital and took the risk) and
moved to a system of managers’ capitalism. I call it in the book a
pathological mutation from owners’ to managers’ capitalism, where far
too much of the reward is going to the managers and far too little,
therefore, going to the owners.
You see this in CEO
compensation. Where the CEO 25 years ago was making maybe 40 times the
salary of the average worker, it’s been as high as 500 times. And
people say, “They should get that kind of money if they do a good job.”
Well, the fact of the matter is, these CEOs as a group have predicted
over the last 25 years that their earnings would grow at 11.5% per year.
They’ve delivered 6% a year and the economy’s been growing at 6.5%. Does
that sound like good performance, to fall halfway short of your
expectations and half a point behind simply being in the economy? Not at
all.
LA:
Now in the financial services industry, we’ve seen a lot of
consolidation. Is this exacerbating the problems of the management
incentive?
JB:
It really is, because the big incentive is, of course, to get big.
Mutual fund managers don’t make a lot of money when they perform well.
They make a lot of money when they run a lot of assets and, as the
inestimable Warren Buffett says, “A fat wallet is the enemy of superior
returns.” The bigger you get, the harder it is to deliver the results
that people looked at in your early years and want to get again. It
doesn’t come back. You can’t go back again once you get to this giant
size. And this is an industry of huge companies: $50 billion,
$100 billion, $500 billion in assets managed. There are two firms that
are managing $1 trillion of assets. How can they differentiate
themselves when the US stock market’s around $13 trillion and here they
are managing $1 trillion of those dollars? They cannot do well at
that level.
The Fidelity Magellan
fund is a classic example of that. It was great, it got big, it stopped
being great and in the last 10 years they’ve lagged the market by around
2 percentage points a year, the amount of all their transaction and
management fees and all those costs. In the meanwhile, they’ve paid
Fidelity around $4 billion for below average returns. It’s a lot of
money. A lot of money. For nothing.
LA:
You talk in your speeches quite often about the word ‘fiduciary’ and
that seems to be lacking in the relationship that most investors have
with mutual fund companies. Can we get back to the point where there is
a fiduciary relationship between investors and the people who invest
their money?
JB:
[We need] a federal statute of fiduciary duty. We do not have that now.
We have state statutes [and] they’re loosely enforced and will never be
enforced because state regulation is a little like a race to the bottom.
[If one state has] tough fiduciary standards, corporations or mutual
funds will move to a state that has easy ones. So there’s not a lot of
market discipline in bringing fiduciary duty. The SEC is trying to do it
by having an independent mutual fund chairman, independent of the
management company. Managers have been known to appraise bad results
with rose-colored glasses on. As you can probably imagine, they can’t be
objective. So [that’s an] important step. [It’s] being fought tooth and
nail by the Investment Company Institute and by the US Chamber of
Commerce because they don’t want mutual funds to be controlled by their
own investors. I hope the courts will see through all that double talk
and allow these very important reforms to go through. We need the
federal statute of fiduciary duty. That’s one of the policy
recommendations in the book.
JW:
We’ve talked about the past and the present; let’s finish the cycle by
talking about the future. You’ve mentioned that it cannot last, it
cannot stand. We make you king for a day. What one thing would you hone
in on if you could change some things in the financial services
industry?
JB:
Wake Up Investors. If investors could [only] understand, clearly, what
I’m talking to you about today. [If they] could realize that all this
trading, moving in and out, all this expense is a deadweight on their
return and a devastating weight over a lifetime. If they were merely
educated enough to know we have a failed system, a policing machine, a
skimming machine, a giant scam (these are some of the words that
responsible people have called the mutual fund industry). If they would
realize that and understand the relentless rules of humble arithmetic,
they would move their money only to people who are recognizing their
fiduciary duty and giving them a fair shake.
JW:
The book is called The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism,
available at most bookstores very soon and of course online. Mr. Bogle,
we can’t thank you enough for joining us here on “The Investing
Revolution.”
JB:
Great to be with you and good luck to you, too, and also to all of your
listeners.
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